EIA Publishes Study on High Renewables Growth Impact in WECC Markets using UPLAN

LCG, July 19, 2024 – A working paper published by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) utilized the UPLAN model to study the impact of high renewables growth in the Western Electric Coordinating Council (WECC) markets.

Read more

LCG Publishes 2024 Annual Outlook for Texas Electricity Market (ERCOT)

LCG, October 10, 2023 – LCG Consulting (LCG) has released its annual outlook of the ERCOT wholesale electricity market for 2024, based on the most likely weather, market, transmission, and generator conditions.

Read more

Industry News

Natural Gas, Power Prices Boosted by Lack of New Gas Production

LCG, Feb. 28, 2003--The price of natural gas retreated slightly late this week from levels as much as two to five times what had been considered typical, but it is quite possible that the "typical" price level will be somewhat higher for the next few years.

March natural gas on the New York Mercantile Exchange was priced at $10.90 per million Btu on Monday, whereas it had been $6.60 the previous Friday. Low inventories are largely the cause, based on a sharp reversal from mild winters in the past few years to a very cold one that in the Energy Information Administration's estimation has left about one-third less gas in storage compared with the five-year average.

Consumption has increased because of more gas being used for heating generally, and by the fact that the majority of new power production capacity uses gas. According to the chief executive of the New York Independent System Operator, plants capable of substituting fuel oil for gas are doing so to cut costs. This week, the premium paid for gas led wholesale electricity prices to reach $990 per magawatt-hour several times in Texas, which has had severe winter weather recently. New York City prices reached $175 per megawatt-hour.

Poorer credit ratings among power companies and utilities have contributed to higher prices as well. Companies that explore and drill for gas have not had enough new, stable production to keep inventories from declining. In fact, production fell last year by 5.5%. The trend is expected to continue until 2005, in the view of Lehman Brothers. Canada's own increased use of gas has not allowed imports from that source to grow, and those wells that have been drilled have been of a more marginal nature, and are often quickly depleted.
Copyright © 2024 LCG Consulting. All rights reserved. Terms and Copyright
The Locational Marginal Price Model (LMP) Network Power Model
Day Ahead and Real Time Market Simulation
The Gas Procurement and Competitive Analysis System
Database of Plants, Loads, Assets, Transmission...
CAISO CRR Auctions
Monthly Price and Congestion Forecasting Service