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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

Read more

Industry News

Cal ISO Warns of Possible Power Shortages

LCG, Oct. 3, 2001--The California Independent System Operator warned yesterday of possible electricity shortages as 9,300 megawatts of generation could be off-line toward the end of October due to plant maintenance, emission reduction projects, "forced" or unplanned outages, and low water conditions.

If the repair work were to coincide with a high-demand day, operating reserves could fall below critical levels, Cal ISO said. The state has not seen rolling blackouts since May 8 and the ISO doesn't want to declare a Stage 3 emergency which would bring them on.

Cal ISO said it expects to have enough power available today and through the month of October to meet the forecast demand, as long as conservation continues, but stresses the importance of conservation as an important tool to help the it balance the grid and lower consumers bills.

The agency is urging Californians to continue using less power, and specifically to use less power during the peak hours between 2:00 and 7:00 p.m.

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