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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

Read more

Industry News

Reliant Resources Abandons Gas Trading

LCG, Mar. 10, 2003--Recent volatility in natural gas prices has prompted Reliant Resources to announce today it will no longer be involved in proprietary trading in that market.

The company said that a trading loss of approximately $80 million following the closing of a short position for March deliveries and a long position for April deliveries was a direct cause of its decision. The price of the NYMEX March contract increased by $2.53/mmBtu in February, from its closing price on Friday the 21st to trading on Monday, the 24th.

Reliant Resources has posted an additional $0.1 billion in collateral to maintain liqiduity, in addition to its January total of $0.7 billion from its domestic margin and collateral. Aside from the negative impact of market volatiliy for its trading operations, Reliant has seen revenues earned by coal generating plants it owns rise, due to higher market prices caused by conditions in the natural gas market.
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