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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

Read more

Industry News

Rising Profile of Coal Underlined by Private Equity

LCG, June 15, 2004--Several private equity firms have bought U.S. assets of a German holding company, RAG Coal International AG, for approximately $1 billion, to form a new company, American Coal Holdings Inc., which will be the fourth-largest coal company in the U.S.

The announcement of the deal in late May by First Reserve Corp., Blackstone Group, and American Metals & Coal International Inc., gives First Reserve and Blackstone 42.% stakes each in the company, while American Metals will own the remainder, without voting privileges.

The assets include mines in Wyoming, Pennsylvania, West Virginia and Illinois, from which approximately 65 million tons are produced annually. The U.S. accounts for approximately one-quarter of global coal supply, while the price of the fuel in the U.S. has risen about 50%, after a sustained rise in natural gas prices, as well as in oil.

Blackstone has made previous inroads into the energy sector, with previous purchases of stakes in both an oil firm and a petroleum refinery. First Reserve has already bought into a mining company and an owner of coal reserves.
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