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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

Read more

Industry News

Cielo's Texas Wind Project Moves Forward

LCG, December 9, 2004--Cielo Wind Power of Austin is negotiating tax benefits with Oldham County officials for a 160-MW wind project planned west of Amarillo, Texas. Excel Energy will purchase the power from the wind farm, which is scheduled to commence operations late next year. Local officials are considering favorable tax arrangements in order to increase the tax base and hope to reach an agreement with Cielo by the end of the year.

According to a spokesperson for Xcel Energy, the transmission capacity in the area is an issue and is approaching limitations. Once the 160-MW wind farm is completed, additional generation cannot be added until a new, 345-kV transmission line is installed. The new transmission line is estimated to cost approximately $50 million and could require roughly three years to complete.

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