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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

Read more

Industry News

Calpine Gets $83.32 Per Megawatt-hour in Third Quarter

LCG, Oct. 27, 2000--Independent power producer Calpine Corp. said yesterday that the average price it received for electricity it generated during the third quarter was $83.32 per megawatt-hour, a 71 percent increase from $48.74 in the same period last year.

The robust increase in revenue per unit of production boosted Calpine's earnings beyond expectations. The company said third quarter earnings, before an extraordinary charge, rose to $147.1 million, or $0.96 a share, from $42.9 million or $0.37 in 1999.

Calpine's results easily exceeded Wall Street estimates of $0.79 per share and the company sounded like it could use Al Jolson's line: "You ain't seen nothin' yet."

Peter Cartwright, chief executive of the San Jose, Calif. company, said "We are very confident that we will exceed the analysts' expectations (in the next quarter)," and Rick Barraza, vice president for investor relations echoed "We are going to have a very strong finish to an excellent 2000."

Calpine said it sold almost a third of its power in California and other western states where prices soared this summer due to a booming economy based on energy-hungry computers and Internet devices.

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