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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

Read more

Industry News

Federal Court Supports Deregulation of Gas-Pipeline

LCG, April 8, 2002-On Friday the United States Court of Appeals upheld the deregulation of the U.S. natural-gas pipeline.

In February of 2000, FERC, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission paused the regulation of prices for capacity allocations shorter than one year. The two and a half year trial deregulation was alleged by some Californian officials and gas customers to have led to California's increased natural gas and electricity prices last year and in 2000.

The three-panel court ruled that FERC acted responsibly in issuing its 2000 order (637) and found that the "brief spikes in moments of extreme exigency are completely consistent with competition, reflecting scarcity rather than monopoly," as written in the court opinion.

Four pipeline companies had also filed claims insisting that the FERC order did not deregulate enough, limiting prices, but the Court of Appeals ruled against them as well.

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