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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

Read more

Industry News

California Signs 5-Year Contract with Calpine

LCG, January 7, 2003-Today Calpine Corporation announced that it had signed a five-year contract with California utility Pacific Gas & Electric.

Calpine has agreed to provide 110 megawatts of on-peak renewable power and 55 MW of off-peak power to PG&E starting January 1st. The company expects to take in $40 million annually from the sale of this power.

The California Public Utilities Commission approved the deal on December 18.

Calpine is based in San Jose, California. The company is currently negotiating other energy contracts for as much as 5,000 megawatts worth of capacity.

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