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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

Read more

Industry News

NRG Sees No Legal Justification for FERC Ruling

LCG, July 25, 2003--A ruling by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission that required NRG Energy to continue honoring a contract with Connecticut Light & Power seems to give insufficient recognition to other outstanding claims of the company as it attempts to restructure in bankruptcy, the company's lawyers told the agency.

FERC this week said that an explanation should be given for how the generating units would continue to operate if the company's bankruptcy led to its assets being liquidated. NRG stated in a letter that "the continued operation of NRG's generating assets, including those located in the Northeast, is among the highest corporate priorities," and that it is in continued communication with the Connecticut attorney general and CL&P. The attorneys questioned the requirement that an assurance that the units would continue to run, regardless of liquidation, should be provided.

At the same time, citing the danger that liquidation would be forced upon it, NRG said it had "an obligation to itself and its creditors to exhaust every possibility to shed the (CL&P contract) in accordance with the Bankruptcy Code." According to the company, it is losing $500,000 per day because of the costly contract.
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