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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

Read more

Industry News

FERC Judge Rules States Cannot Block AEP from PJM

LCG, Mar. 12, 2004--An Administrative Law Judge with the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC), William Cowan, has issued an order that aims to speed up the entry of American Electric Power Co. (AEP) into the Pennsylvania-Jersey-Maryland Interconnection (PJM), the mid-Atlantic grid administrator.

The ruling came as a result of earlier conflicts between FERC's interest in having utilities join regional transmission organization and laws passed by Virginia and Kentucky that are intended to block its entry into PJM. The ruling allows the states to file briefs detailing exceptions to the ruling within 15 days. AEP is now scheduled to make a transition to PJM membership by October.

Both Virginia and Kentucky's legislative strategies are based on concerns among regulators and legislators that the inclusion of AEP could raise costs for customers. For its part, FERC feels that open access for suppliers besides established utilities can lower costs.
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