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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

Read more

Industry News

Renewable Tax Credits Extended

LCG, January 7, 2013--The American Taxpayer Relief Act of 2012 was signed into law by the President on January 2, 2013, and the legislation includes provisions that extend tax credits for wind energy, biodiesel, cellulosic ethanol, electric vehicles, energy-efficient new homes and appliances.

The extension of the wind energy Production Tax Credit (PTC) both changes (i) the milestone from placing a new facility into service to commencing construction, and (ii) the deadline from January 1, 2013 to January 1, 2014. Given the new milestone, the one-year extension equates to much more than a year extension for project development.

Without the extension of the PTC and with relatively low natural gas prices, the outlook had been poor for continued growth in the development of land-based and offshore wind farms in the United States.

The American Taxpayer Relief Act of 2012 also extends the ability of new wind and certain other new renewable energy facilities that qualify for the PTC to elect a 30% investment tax credit (ITC) instead of using the PTC where construction began before January 1, 2014.

The Act also extends for another year "bonus depreciation" that allows taxpayers to immediately deduct 50 percent of the adjusted basis of certain types of property when the project is placed into service. Project developers now have until January 1, 2014 to place new solar, wind, or other renewable energy equipment into service.
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