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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

Read more

Industry News

NRG Plans Fuel Switching from Coal to Gas to Avoid Plant Closures

LCG, June 26, 2013--NRG Energy (NRG) announced plans Monday to retrofit the 330-MW, New Castle power plant to switch from burning coal to natural gas. The 60-year old plant, located in Pennsylvania, had been scheduled to close by April 2015 due to environmental regulations associated with burning coal. With the fuel switching, the plant will be reactivated, and the anticipated commercial operating date (COD) for gas-fired operations is the summer of 2016.

NRG merged with GenOn Energy Inc. in December 2012, and GenOn had previously announced the April 2015 closing date last year.

NRG's East Region spokesperson stated, "The New Castle plant shutdown was announced because it would have required a substantial investment in environmental controls to continue to operate as a coal-burning facility. But we looked at it and decided it could be operated economically on natural gas. We won't have to install the extremely expensive controls that would have been required to continue operating on coal."

Following the reactivation, the New Castle plant is anticipated to change from a serving a base-load role to a peaking role, when electric demand peaks.

Other plants targeted by NRG to convert from coal to gas and reactivate are the 732-MW Avon Lake power plant in Ohio by the summer of 2016, as well as the 75-MW Dunkirk Unit 2 in New York.
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